propability

Failure-mode analysis

Not just whether attempts fail — which rule ends them, and when.

What it does

Why it matters

Two traders with the same pass probability can be failing for completely different reasons — one clips the daily loss limit on volatile days, the other bleeds into a trailing floor over weeks. Knowing the dominant failure mode tells you which rule deserves your attention.

What you get

You stop guessing why attempts like yours end and see the mechanism itself, quantified across thousands of replays.

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All outputs are descriptive probabilities of scenarios you define — educational tool, not investment advice.